Metodo

International Studies in Phenomenology and Philosophy

Journal | Volume | Article

235400

The main two arguments for probabilism are flawed

Luigi Secchi

pp. 287-295

Abstract

Probabilism, the view that agents have numerical degrees of beliefs that conform to the axioms of probability, has been defended by the vast majority of its proponents by way of either of two arguments, the Dutch Book Argument and the Representation Theorems Argument. In this paper I argue that both arguments are flawed. The Dutch Book Argument is based on an unwarranted, ad hoc premise that cannot be dispensed with. The Representation Theorems Argument hinges on an invalid implication.

Publication details

Published in:

(2014) Synthese 191 (3).

Pages: 287-295

DOI: 10.1007/s11229-013-0286-0

Full citation:

Secchi Luigi (2014) „The main two arguments for probabilism are flawed“. Synthese 191 (3), 287–295.