Metodo

International Studies in Phenomenology and Philosophy

Journal | Volume | Article

236219

Bayesian probability

Patrick Maher

pp. 119-127

Abstract

Bayesian decision theory is here construed as explicating a particular concept of rational choice and Bayesian probability is taken to be the concept of probability used in that theory. Bayesian probability is usually identified with the agent’s degrees of belief but that interpretation makes Bayesian decision theory a poor explication of the relevant concept of rational choice. A satisfactory conception of Bayesian decision theory is obtained by taking Bayesian probability to be an explicatum for inductive probability given the agent’s evidence.

Publication details

Published in:

Arló-Costa Horacio, Helzner Jeffrey (2010) Foundations of the decision sciences. Synthese 172 (1).

Pages: 119-127

DOI: 10.1007/s11229-009-9471-6

Full citation:

Maher Patrick (2010) „Bayesian probability“. Synthese 172 (1), 119–127.